SME-FX | FractalFreak | Activity https://sme-fx.com/members/maxi76/activity/ Activity feed for FractalFreak. Fri, 05 Dec 2025 14:38:40 +0000 https://buddypress.org/?v= en-US 30 hourly 2 13d2333daa9825b3f5edf78bd95da80d FractalFreak started the topic LTS on the horizon... in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/lts-on-the-horizon/ Fri, 10 Jan 2025 20:49:07 +0000 Attack incoming…

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bc5ba0b4d5ba2a30cfaaaf135bc10f71 FractalFreak replied to the topic Walk the Walk in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/walk-the-walk/#post-105205 Tue, 10 Dec 2024 22:36:50 +0000 Hi Fabian,

yes, proper risk management is always required, do not “bet the house” on any single trade.
Also, avoid trading around 23:00 where spreads are high.
You live and you learn.

Watch the new video I posted today,
the Semi-SM indicator could be a MASSIVE help for you.
Whenever you intent to enter a trader, check before whether the…Read more

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484055ec8e2a96f9dc8161734c659c99 FractalFreak replied to the topic Walk the Walk in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/walk-the-walk/#post-105042 Wed, 27 Nov 2024 11:42:21 +0000 “Servus Fabian,

Finde deine Analysen klasse. Schaue täglich ob du was Neues postest. Ist immer gut zu sehen was andere sehen und was man noch neu dazu lernen kann. Bin jetzt schon seit 2 Jahren bei MK dabei und würde nicht anders traden. Bleib dabei!

Freundliche Grüße,

Schön, Jungs!

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92bb590759918916f713ad81eb588c40 FractalFreak replied to the topic Walk the Walk in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/walk-the-walk/#post-105039 Wed, 27 Nov 2024 11:41:49 +0000 “GBPJpy:
– Short squeeze indicator
– MTS above
-Extended on higher timeframes
-D1 cleared MA`s
-Looking to buy to the mts and see how dumb money reacts”

I was long.-term bearish on GJ; DM longies,
but yes, it was not a crime to trade towards the upper MTS.

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64636154b3fc1c8d9a2897d8007ba94d FractalFreak replied to the topic Walk the Walk in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/walk-the-walk/#post-105037 Wed, 27 Nov 2024 11:39:57 +0000 “XAUUSD
-Outer H4 Bands
-Short suqeeze dominating
-Fat targets above
– Plan is to long and see what happens when price reaches the stops”

Well, Gold filled the H1 OST, then went further down against the new longies, then did a pullback up to the IR MTS.
I did not trade it:

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2aae04dad477a7bcbeead1a14016594d FractalFreak replied to the topic Walk the Walk in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/walk-the-walk/#post-105035 Wed, 27 Nov 2024 11:38:20 +0000 “EURAUD:
-D1 MA cleaned some monthly lows.
– High squeeze indicator
– Lots f targets above
– Plan is to wait for a collabse in the squeeze indicator and the ride the wave up”

Well done, that was an easy OST trade.
As soon as the longies started leaving, the SM Algos went for the kill:

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b6af6b5983ce128d38ca33ae85c06dad FractalFreak replied to the topic Walk the Walk in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/walk-the-walk/#post-105033 Wed, 27 Nov 2024 11:36:54 +0000 Ok,

now I comment on your analysis:

“EURUSD:
– Highly extended
– Lots of targets up, Short PB Bars below (expect dumb money tolerance)
-But still green Squeeze indicator
– Plan is still short and wait for signs of a reversal”

Well done, I had a similar analysis, I was long EURUSD and did well. Lows were cleared, DM buyers leaving, some short…Read more

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75e197a3bef06151fb0f143fca9cc2a3 FractalFreak replied to the topic Walk the Walk in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/walk-the-walk/#post-105032 Wed, 27 Nov 2024 11:34:39 +0000 “My biggest problems were trends who kept on going and result in big losses. Finally i can see things clearer. Thanks alot Djamal.”

Great Fabian,

however, be careful with shorting BTC, you need to be SUPER-confident to do a trade like that. 🙂

Djamal

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b3e68b4144efa4cf39e7f8d0bb303bf1 FractalFreak replied to the topic Walk the Walk in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/walk-the-walk/#post-104846 Sun, 17 Nov 2024 18:58:46 +0000 Continue Fabian, you seem to be on the right path.

Gut, Jung.

Happy trading,
Djamal

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3e935f842dc6e275473a22b41373ece2 FractalFreak replied to the topic Walk the Walk in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/walk-the-walk/#post-104844 Sun, 17 Nov 2024 18:58:04 +0000 “EURGBP:
-PB Long Bars=Resistance
– Collapsing Squeeze Indicator
– Stops below
– Plan enter 2 positions 1.Tp stops 2.TP Red PB Bar Entry then enter long if squeeze line collapses more and long pb bars are gone
-News today so everything can change afterwards”

Yes, the squeeze collapsed and therefore the price came back up, I had bought it:

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f058cd21d3b95256889b3cee00dabae7 FractalFreak replied to the topic Walk the Walk in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/walk-the-walk/#post-104842 Sun, 17 Nov 2024 18:56:28 +0000 “USDCAD:
-D1 chart lots of highs are staked
-H4 bands are breached
– Stops above as target after reaching them looking to short into h4 bands range to mts
– Short PB Bars as resistanve”

Yes, the shorties were attacked:

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63492c6b0694185b4e14eec343597ed7 FractalFreak replied to the topic Walk the Walk in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/walk-the-walk/#post-104840 Sun, 17 Nov 2024 18:54:46 +0000 :

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7f1c8e845398dde2274787101c8d045b FractalFreak replied to the topic Walk the Walk in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/walk-the-walk/#post-104839 Sun, 17 Nov 2024 18:53:16 +0000 “EURUSD:
– Lots of Stops below, but h4 bands are breached and price extended
– Green Suqeeze line still up
-Lots of green pb bar acts as resistance
-D1 Grail Pattern not finished expecting that it will be breached with news and then a possible upmove”

Yes, indeed there were the STS below the price in EU, and indeed there were enough DM lon…Read more

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9f09b45f9c8dc6184d820af0607dfd84 FractalFreak replied to the topic Walk the Walk in the forum Commercial https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/walk-the-walk/#post-104838 Sun, 17 Nov 2024 18:51:49 +0000 Hi Fabian,

your analysis was not bad.
Let us look at it in more detail:

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18b5acdf0d974c45d01002bf1023072f FractalFreak started the topic NEW: Time-lpase video (USDCAD, H1) in the forum Beginner's Section https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/new-time-lpase-video-usdcad-h1/ Sun, 26 May 2024 22:37:07 +0000

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0857f7a9a3f09882cdc8aea2dc046b36 FractalFreak replied to the topic 25/05/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/25-05-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-100901 Sat, 25 May 2024 16:31:58 +0000 Even in more advanced market phases, there are still good setups to be traded:

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51dd553210bb73e1aec39dc549c2fb21 FractalFreak replied to the topic 10/05/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/10-05-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-99872 Fri, 10 May 2024 19:51:48 +0000 GBPUSD runs:

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7c2e0068c41be7b072d828cc11abcf94 FractalFreak replied to the topic 10/05/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/10-05-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-99868 Fri, 10 May 2024 19:50:14 +0000 DM runs:

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e0171d1c5ec8d03d233b1a49cae40f2a FractalFreak replied to the topic 10/05/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/10-05-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-99866 Fri, 10 May 2024 19:49:19 +0000 USDJPY OST runs:

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5e6325d2b11597cb825103a7cc00a96e FractalFreak replied to the topic 10/05/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/10-05-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-99864 Fri, 10 May 2024 19:48:45 +0000 USDCAD range trades:

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f5f36ed50b4749cc114320575ea8395f FractalFreak started the topic 10/05/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/10-05-2024-mk-blog-summary/ Fri, 10 May 2024 19:39:26 +0000

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dfea3d9979c20d8b3ed14bd0be25dd83 FractalFreak replied to the topic 29/04/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/29-04-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-99129 Sun, 28 Apr 2024 23:31:30 +0000 Metals came off against the DM longies:

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6ec8f987a1564606c14e2b802573b9b3 FractalFreak replied to the topic 29/04/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/29-04-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-99125 Sun, 28 Apr 2024 23:29:48 +0000 The JPY pairs cleared the highs against the shorties:

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5cf22c7bfc2d3dd45c4c120e56130ab6 FractalFreak replied to the topic 29/04/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/29-04-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-99121 Sun, 28 Apr 2024 23:28:54 +0000 The dollar pairs did the pullback as expected:

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11239013f11a303ca1290e22d5ad2ed7 FractalFreak started the topic 29/04/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/29-04-2024-mk-blog-summary/ Sun, 28 Apr 2024 23:27:57 +0000

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1c41ccff46af5ef1ba4efb718c90d262 FractalFreak replied to the topic 21/04/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/21-04-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-98665 Sun, 21 Apr 2024 13:53:31 +0000 AU stop-hunts etc:

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3de9f4f407da391a388d128a7924cd1c FractalFreak started the topic 21/04/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/21-04-2024-mk-blog-summary/ Sun, 21 Apr 2024 13:52:45 +0000

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1a3b4c96461a98c5101bf07dcbab6e15 FractalFreak replied to the topic 14/04/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/14-04-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-98227 Sun, 14 Apr 2024 18:05:03 +0000 EA OST:

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630e27bf4f3657cf4e52f52d5e036949 FractalFreak replied to the topic 14/04/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/14-04-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-98225 Sun, 14 Apr 2024 18:04:09 +0000 GJ taking it all:

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12b81d0270773511ba5ba8ad695319ac FractalFreak replied to the topic 14/04/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/14-04-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-98222 Sun, 14 Apr 2024 18:03:26 +0000 Reverse pairs:

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97b82cfcf71088b8ea80abeeb093bba7 FractalFreak replied to the topic 14/04/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/14-04-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-98217 Sun, 14 Apr 2024 18:02:29 +0000 USD pairs against the DM longies:

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4ef10308ea09a648d417cad519c9e330 FractalFreak replied to the topic 07/04/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/07-04-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-97769 Sun, 07 Apr 2024 17:23:02 +0000 Also USD pairs.

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0c7d9be1032e2b4fcb6ac930333d9417 FractalFreak replied to the topic 07/04/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/07-04-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-97764 Sun, 07 Apr 2024 17:22:22 +0000 Some nice OST and MTS runs.

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09d3a00109f59f4f69f4eb326b7bff15 FractalFreak started the topic 07/04/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/07-04-2024-mk-blog-summary/ Sun, 07 Apr 2024 17:21:24 +0000

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db32261efbdba662d7c5dbf4f6d39a51 FractalFreak replied to the topic 31/03/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/31-03-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-97256 Sun, 31 Mar 2024 19:11:35 +0000 .

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737b261619bd5fbf5e7fc5a138332434 FractalFreak replied to the topic 24/03/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/24-03-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-96717 Sun, 24 Mar 2024 19:10:23 +0000 Typical “house cleaning” week:

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d49fbd104ab21a8da1ecd3ae0c416578 FractalFreak replied to the topic 24/03/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/24-03-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-96714 Sun, 24 Mar 2024 19:08:46 +0000 Here some of the good trades:

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b4413d7b5c07412237a616691029c523 FractalFreak replied to the topic 17/03/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/17-03-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-96210 Sun, 17 Mar 2024 19:17:23 +0000 Super.

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a990b9088e77a3caafdeab961a3accdb FractalFreak replied to the topic 17/03/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/17-03-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-96207 Sun, 17 Mar 2024 19:17:06 +0000 and:

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29998e081d3a09665c9378da177d260a FractalFreak replied to the topic 17/03/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/17-03-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-96201 Sun, 17 Mar 2024 19:16:27 +0000 As predicted in the previous MK blog summary,
the USD pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD) came down and the JPY pairs (USDJPY, EURJPY, GBPY) came up.

This week was VERY strong.

Many, easy trade setups.

Pip fest!!!!!

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d524f1c9bfaf39e76ac0a7c6562eeb16 FractalFreak started the topic 17/03/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/17-03-2024-mk-blog-summary/ Sun, 17 Mar 2024 19:14:47 +0000 Enjoy:

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7741f5b32058b0e620a70e1a3ac8eb4d FractalFreak replied to the topic BTC "Correlation" in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/btc-correlation/#post-95676 Sun, 10 Mar 2024 18:12:05 +0000 Hi ImpliedOdds,

yes, the MK works a little differently in the crypto markets, as said before;
first of all, as I had predicted some years ago,
the market structure of the “younger” and smaller crypto markets will more and more resemble the bigger FX markets,
not the other way around.
That is why we already see MTS runs etc.

However, since most…Read more

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837cf429d2bc216fdf90ea36a0318cca FractalFreak replied to the topic 03/03/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/03-03-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-95196 Sun, 03 Mar 2024 20:17:37 +0000

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6532a2a450c2c00a6ff5bebad49277e0 FractalFreak replied to the topic 03/03/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/03-03-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-95191 Sun, 03 Mar 2024 20:16:17 +0000 EU gave strong MTS-runs, GU as well, AU as well,
strong OST-runs in GJ, EJ………amazing

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5ce49c52ea7cb7f658997f46e6fa6c14 FractalFreak replied to the topic 03/03/2024 MK blog summary in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/03-03-2024-mk-blog-summary/#post-95190 Sun, 03 Mar 2024 20:15:04 +0000 This was a STRONG week, plenty of setups!

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33b19856fde80e4d167dc21e24bc5442 FractalFreak replied to the topic How do I identify a flat market? in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/how-do-i-identify-a-flat-market/#post-94482 Tue, 27 Feb 2024 10:46:22 +0000 Hi BullFX,

no stupid questions; a flat market happens if:

– there are DM long positions above the price and DM short positions below (see y-axis)
– the market is “empty”, so both squeeze lines are low, low DM flow
– often, the price is within the middle part of the H4 channel
– the market has taken MTS / OTS / LTS a few days before, but that…Read more

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e96ddeb15e1f201a5d9801e36ab6a381 FractalFreak replied to the topic Losing EURUSD trade in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/losing-eurusd-trade/#post-94112 Thu, 22 Feb 2024 15:41:28 +0000

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13f4d24f84f8cd54341e6f5085521a71 FractalFreak replied to the topic Losing EURUSD trade in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/losing-eurusd-trade/#post-94096 Thu, 22 Feb 2024 14:28:30 +0000 Also note,

the DM longies seeing the naked chart thought “EU came off so much, I will enter cheaply now”, just to get stop-hunted.
The DM shorties thought, “there is downside momentum now”, and sold after the news, just to be stop-hunted.

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f76312fedbc17834edc03741b3090fa6 FractalFreak replied to the topic Losing EURUSD trade in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/losing-eurusd-trade/#post-94023 Wed, 21 Feb 2024 10:53:07 +0000 Of course, ppl with such limitations may have picked an SL further away and in this case, they may have gotten away with that.

Or, others may have entered via limit, seeing that there way way too many longies in the way days before already.

D

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5e5ba8b706143823b05505b728af7e08 FractalFreak replied to the topic Losing EURUSD trade in the forum Market Causality ('MK') https://sme-fx.com/forums/topic/losing-eurusd-trade/#post-94022 Wed, 21 Feb 2024 10:51:53 +0000 “However, the H1 looks like it had a large green spike just before the collapse indicating that many were “betting” on long. This of course created a good scenario to crash price against these longs. This is one of the drawbacks/challenges for those who can’t watch the markets all day. You may have had only an hour or less to recognize that large…Read more

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